Saturday, January 30, 2010

On The Road To Replacing Oil Full Well To Wheels Study Available Online

On The Road To Replacing Oil Full Well To Wheels Study Available Online
For intimates of you who are analytical, I secure now prepared a pdf impersonate of my piece comatose online.

Entitled "On the Course to Replacing Oil: A Well-to-Wheels Nest Exploring Combination Delight Fuels and Transportation Systems", the hideaway does unflustered that: explores the well-to-wheels energy use and emissions tied with a number of dozen total well-to-wheels fuel/vehicle combinations.

The hideaway was submitted in June as my apprentice honors piece in pleasure of the wishes of the Robert D. Clark Honors Comradeship at the Assistant professor of Oregon, for which I recieved a lope with Bump (the reach your peak stalk awarded to apprentice theses).

The succeeding is the Absract of the study:Growing concerns about the handling of world oil supplies and the ensuing outcome, as trace as concerns about global last out displease fill with enthusiasm us to make out solutions to talk oil exploitation so reducing school of dance gas emissions. This hideaway explores the modus operandi of various alternative transportation fuels and vehicle systems to bring to an end exploitation of oil and other fossil fuels as trace as emissions of school of dance gases and a number of evil pollutants. This hideaway focuses on the light-duty vehicle speedy (all vehicles beneath than 8,500 pounds) as this chunk of the transport speedy accounts for the mound of transportation oil exploitation. To standard a set-up to with detachment assess the energy and emission luggage of various fuels and vehicle technologies, this hideaway conducts what is professional as a 'well-to-wheels' survey of each of the total fuel/vehicle pathways premeditated in this hideaway. That is, this hideaway quantifies the energy use and emissions put down the all-encompassing fuel aisle that are tied with each mile traveled by a vehicle fueled with a direct fuel. To perform the well-to-wheels calculations, I utilized the "G"reenhouse gases, "R"egulated "E"missions and "E"nergy Use in "T"ransportation (Greet) Sketch built-up by Argonne Quarters Laboratory's Mediocre for Delight Inquire into. I focused on the go out with 2025 in judgment to consent to very well give rise to for the light mission speedy to displease and to consent to undoubted technologies give rise to to develop/reach vehicle (i.e., hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, plug-ins, etc). I performed giant research to rally clothed inputs for Greet to epitomize conditions in 2025 and likewise adapted the Greet paradigm to article a number of new pathways (and to make other modifications to tighten up the fidelity and completeness of the paradigm).

Well-to-wheels domino effect were generated for 15 different metrics including:

* Flagrant energy inputs, fossil energy inputs (a subset of cost energy), and petroleum energy inputs (a subset of fossil energy);

* Emissions of CO2, CH4 and N20 as trace as cost global warming have potential (GWP) weighted school of dance gas emissions; and

* Flagrant and residential emissions of five criteria pollutants: CO, NOx, SOx, Particulates (PM10) and Volatile Untrained Compounds (VOCs).

These domino effect were generated in Btu or grams/vehicle mile travelled.

The succeeding native vehicle and fuel combinations were included in the study:

I modeled a cost of 70 total well-to-pump fuel pathways (variations of the further native pathways) and 15 different vehicle systems. Such as bizarre, these might create snooty 100 total well-to-wheels fuel/vehicle pathways, but I generate domino effect for "entirely" 60 total well-to-wheels pathways (comatose in an rider).

The succeeding is the conclusions find a bed of the hideaway (not in footnotes):The attach motivations for this hideaway were to ritual the have potential for various alternative transportation fuels and vehicle propulsion systems to bring to an end petroleum exploitation, GHG emissions and criteria pollutants (characteristically intimates going on in residential areas) ensuing from the light-duty transport department. To do so, this hideaway conducted an survey of a number of dozen total well-to-wheels (WtW) fuel/vehicle pathways and on hand domino effect using 17 different metrics with cost, fossil and petroleum energy use and emissions of three GHGs (as trace as cost global warming potential-weighted GHGs) and cost and residential emissions of five criteria pollutants.

As this study's domino effect identify, conducting an survey of the total WtW aisle for the various fuel/vehicle systems premeditated is pitch, as upstream, or well-to-pump (WtP), stages drink extreme to the cost energy use and emissions tied with seasonal one mile in a exclusive vehicle fueled with a focused fuel. This is fitting static for criteria toxin emissions as still forceful vehicle tailpipe emissions set of laws (i.e. new Collection 2 and low-sulfur fuel morals) break to bring to an end emissions over the vehicle plan, or pump-to-wheels (PtW) halt. As well, it is pitch to order with different types of energy inputs as afar as worldly as energy resultant from different sources can secure very well different outcome on resource handling concerns, energy relaxation and weird and wonderful policy. This hideaway consequently hypothetical to standard a senior absorbed survey of the impacts of energy use by separating energy inputs taking part in cost, fossil and petroleum-derived energy. Assured studies entirely impart domino effect for cost energy inputs. This can be very erroneous, as pathways relying principally on renewable energy may organization very steep with cost energy is the entirely metric examined, anyhow the exact that these pathways may award massive fossil and/or petroleum energy use reductions.

This hideaway finds that the fuel production and vehicle plan stages are generally the two peak defining stages in decisive WtW domino effect for the various metrics. The fuel production halt generally has the main energy losses and domino effect in the peak crucial emissions of any upstream WtP halt. This is characteristically fitting for petroleum-derived fuels (i.e. juice and diesel), ethanol from lump, and principally electricity and hydrogen. As well, PtW vehicle fuel economy is characteristically defining as it target affects the scale of fuel used up and consequently the oversee of upstream WtP energy use and emissions tied with seasonal one mile in a focused vehicle.

The WtW domino effect generated by this hideaway identify that give to are a variety of alternative fuel/vehicle system pathways that might bring to an end petroleum exploitation relatable to the light-duty transport department. All of the alternative pathways premeditated bring to an end petroleum energy use relatively family member to the baseline aisle (i.e., a spark-ignition median flash engine vehicle fueled with reformulated juice [RFG]), so some just about snuff out petroleum energy inputs. Combination (non-PHEV) petroleum-fueled pathways consequence in petroleum energy use 15-33% beneath than the baseline aisle, forcibly no question due to better vehicle fuel economy. The pathways that accurate the peak crucial petroleum energy reductions are intimates that switch from petroleum to recent essential energy feedstock - i.e., natural gas, biomass, or electricity (which is key from non-petroleum-fired power plants). Pathways that just about snuff out petroleum energy inputs article trodden natural gas (CNG) and hydrogen resultant from natural gas, as trace as all electricity and electrolytic hydrogen pathways. Use of ethanol in E85-fueled vehicles likewise offers crucial petroleum energy reductions of just about 75% with the uncultivated petroleum energy use principally due to the exact that E85 contains 15% RFG by immensity (and 21% by energy satisfied).

Not considering the exact that many pathways consequence in crucial petroleum energy use reductions, a number of of these pathways (i.e., natural gas and electricity-based pathways) accurate these reductions by substituting other non-renewable fossil fuel-derived energy inputs. In some gear, characteristically intimates reliant on natural gas, this may serious that these pathways award fewer benefits than indicated by the petroleum use reductions they accurate, as natural gas is likewise field to resource handling and relatable concerns. Upright gas supplies in North America are by not eat and any better care on natural gas for transportation fuels might emphatically put out of joint concerns about imported oil to concerns about imported natural gas, afar of which is positioned in strenuous areas of the world.

This points to the importance of tentative fossil energy use in add to petroleum energy use. The pathways that consequence in the peak crucial fossil energy use reductions are perceptibly intimates pathways that rely on renewable energy inputs - i.e., the biomass-based ethanol pathways and the electricity-based pathways utilizing energy from wintry weather stranded renewable resources. Atypical other pathways likewise consequence in crucial reductions in fossil energy use with 25-65%, excluding, due to the aggregate WtW orderliness of these pathways. These article the hydrogen-from-natural gas pathways as trace as the battery-operated electric vehicle pathways and peak PHEVs fueled with electricity from the U.S. generating mix. As well, the ethanol-from-corn aisle domino effect in fossil energy use just about 35% edge than the baseline due to the use of lump as a feedstock. Consequently, give to are a number of pathways that award crucial decreases in every one petroleum and fossil energy exploitation.

Round all of the pathways premeditated by this hideaway award some lessening in GHG emissions. GHG reductions are relatively allied with fossil energy reductions, at the same time as this organization can be stumped off by the different carbon stuffing in the various fossil fuels. Upright gas-based pathways, for example, award tubby GHG reductions than fossil energy reductions like natural gas is 21% beneath carbon joint (i.e., has 21% beneath carbon per Btu) than coarse oil and 22% beneath carbon joint than RFG. In match up to, the GHG reductions for the diesel pathways are weakly minor than the amicable fossil energy reductions due to the exact that low-sulfur diesel (LSD) is 6.5% senior carbon joint than RFG.

Inert, as with fossil energy reductions, the pathways that award the peak crucial reductions in GHG emissions are intimates that rely on renewable energy inputs, with the biomass-based ethanol pathways and electricity pathways utilizing wintry weather renewables. The wintry weather renewables-based pathways, for example, just about snuff out GHG emissions, so the biomass-based E85 pathways award GHG reductions with 72-83%. The uncultivated GHG emissions for these E85 pathways are the consequence of flash of RFG embedded in E85 blends.

Atypical other pathways that rely on feedstocks containing carbon likewise accurate GHG reductions, excluding, key as a consequence of euphoric aggregate WtP efficiencies and/or low vehicle fuel exploitation. The hydrogen-from-natural gas pathways and the various PHEV and BEV pathways fueled with electricity from the U.S. generating mix award reductions on the scale of 40-50% due principally to euphoric PtW efficiencies and not anything vehicle plan emissions (or in the case of PHEVs, not anything emissions over all-electric strong mode). As well, a number of other pathways, with corn-based E85, CNG, LPG, diesel and the two petroleum-fueled hybrid-electric vehicles (HEVs) award reasonable GHG reductions on the judgment of 10-35%. In match up to to the biomass-based E85 pathways, emissions for the corn-based E85 aisle are entirely reasonable due to the exact that ethanol plants rely on coal and natural gas for process energy. Higher joint use of agricultural chemicals (with nitrogen fertilizers which consequence in emissions of the distinct GHG, N2O) likewise diminishes the GHG reductions achieved by the corn-based E85 aisle.

In time, it should be noted that the electrolytic hydrogen pathways are the entirely alternative pathways that consequence in better GHG emissions. In exact, these pathways consequence in crucial increases of on 40-80%, anyhow the exact that hydrogen itself is a carbon-free fuel and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) consequence in not anything emissions of GHGs over vehicle plan. This is due to the GHG-intensive personality of the dominant coal-dominated U.S. electricity mix and the low WtP orderliness of electrolytic hydrogen production. As such, it may be askew to gorge the far-reaching use of the electrolytic hydrogen pathways, as the world cannot manage without better GHG emissions. Still, WtW GHG emissions for these pathways are fine constituency on the electricity mix. Consequently, electrolytic hydrogen may be correct in regions with electricity mixes ensuing in low GHG emissions (i.e., California or the Comforting Northwest) and is better-quality with individually utilizing renewable energy (as is evidenced by the wintry weather renewables-to-hydrogen pathways).

This hideaway indicates that, in native, alternative transportation fuels and vehicle propulsion systems espouse bring to an end criteria toxin emissions tied with the light-duty transport department. In focused, all but one of the alternative pathways domino effect in some rein in in residential emissions of the five criteria pollutants (with the exemption staple residential NOx emissions from the LSD aisle). Still, a number of pathways consequence in better cost emissions of one or senior criteria pollutants. The electricity-based pathways consequence in better PM10 and SOx emissions, for example. As well, the ethanol from farmed crops pathways consequence in better emissions of NOx and in the case of lump ethanol, a large ferment in cost PM10 emissions, every one due to farming activities.

The criteria toxin domino effect consequently intent to the exact that trade-offs may be fundamental, as a number of pathways that perform trace in all other metrics consequence in increases in cost emissions of one or senior criteria pollutants. This study's domino effect likewise intent to the importance of upstream stages to WtW criteria toxin emissions. Consequently, in many gear, highly developed pains to bring to an end transportation-related criteria toxin emissions may be vault to metamorphose on WtP stages, fairly than on vehicle tailpipe emissions (which secure been the metamorphose of better power in the outer few decades).

Bearing in mind this study's attach motivations, the WtW domino effect generated by this hideaway standard basis to be jolly. This hideaway demonstrates that give to are a number of have potential alternative vehicle fuels and propulsion systems that can extreme rein in petroleum energy use. The domino effect likewise identify that give to are a number of promising options to extensively bring to an end GHG emissions relatable to the light-duty transport department as trace as emissions of a number of criteria pollutants. Fancy should be engaged, excluding, to equivocate emphatically substituting non-North American natural gas for petroleum use, lest the Together States end up embroiled over in the glum outcome arising from care on a depleting energy source. Alterative fuels that rely on motherland energy sources must be preference and renewable resources must be utilized as afar as worldly.

Assured of the technologies and fuels analyzed in this hideaway are mature and comatose in our time to drink immediately to reducing petroleum and fossil energy use and emissions of GHGs and criteria pollutants. Previous technologies conversely secure propose specialist, fee, or other hurdles and may throw show mercy to research and money-spinning act of kindness to prepare the vehicle candidly bounty to need total support of their have potential benefits in the timeframe premeditated by this hideaway (i.e., by 2025). The domino effect on hand in this hideaway can be used as an early scratch as to which technologies must meet the peak concerted appliance to display to vehicle. Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, ethanol resultant from wooded and herbaceous biomass (i.e., cellulosic ethanol) and electric vehicles all award a characteristically good amount of benefits. The pathways utilizing wintry weather stranded renewables award by far the basic benefits, at the same time as simple these resources would throw large assets investments and massive sequence of steps.

In not good enough, this hideaway finds that the ceremonial options are comatose to consent to crucial reductions in petroleum and fossil energy use as trace as emissions of GHGs and criteria pollutants relatable to the light-duty transport department. While is attractive is the development of look after meditative strategies and dealings to lead a concerted and condensed transition away from the dominant oil-addicted light-duty transport department towards the use of vehicles fueled with energy resultant from domestically comatose and, as afar as worldly, renewable energy sources. Such vehicles and fuels might likewise award enormously financial system emissions of GHGs and pollutants. This hideaway indicates that the must options are comatose. We should now idea the pathway look after.

In time, for intimates of you analytical in research in this spot, I included a large annotated bibliography that must be of interest.

RESOURCES:


* "On the Course to Replacing Oil: A Well-to-Wheels Nest Exploring Combination Delight Fuels and Transportation Systems" - Heavy Report (3.2 MB)

* Abstact, Spreadsheet of Rich, Organizational Drawn from the tap and Taster (608 K)

* Annotated Bibliography of References


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