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A new report released this week at the World Economic Forum in Davos estimates that members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) will need to invest more than 7.6 trillion over the next 25 years to meet their energy policy goals, further reduce emissions and create a more sustainable system for producing electricity from renewables and cleaner fuels such as natural gas.
They will also need to invest heavily in modernizing, expanding and decentralizing their power grids to make them more robust and resilient. "The electricity sector is at a cross-roads," says Julian Critchlow, partner at Bain & Company who co-wrote the "Future of Electricity" report. "We are entering a period of unprecedented investment to meet our energy policy goals, but decreasing returns and increasing risk are raising questions over future investment."
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"Top image: A GE wind turbine starts up at the GDF Suez Energy site in Galati, Romania. Image credit: @seenewphoto. Above: GE is currently testing the world's most powerful gas turbine. Image credit: GE Power & Water"
The report calls for a coordinated effort by policymakers, regulators and businesses to ensure the power sector can continue to attract the investments needed to build a more secure, sustainable electricity sector. "This unprecedented transformation in the global power industry toward a low-carbon environment raises significant challenges for countries seeking to balance the need for sustainability, energy security and competitiveness," says Steve Bolze, president and CEO of GE Power & Water and co-chair of the WEF Energy Utilities & Energy Technology community. "Yet it also raises tremendous opportunities for investing in innovative technologies that can help bring about more sustainable economic growth for countries and a higher standard of living for their people." ("Read Bolze's opinion piece here.")
For example, Europe's industrial dynamo, Germany, will lose as much as fifth of its electricity generation capacity over the next decade as the country pulls the plug on nuclear reactors. A process called "Energiewende" will replace nuclear power with a combination of electricity from natural gas and renewables.
But it won't be easy. Nuclear plants feed the electrical grid with crucial "base load power," the minimum amount of electricity that must flow through the grid for the country to run. Unlike wind or solar electricity, which ebb and flow with the whims of the weather, base load power must remain reliable and always on.
Innovation is playing a key role in the transition. The latest flexible gas turbines and gas engines are already converting natural gas into electricity at a low cost and allow operators to blend in intermittent renewable power like solar and wind power into the grid.
Big Data and the Industrial Internet will also allow utilities to boost efficiency. "Energy builds and supports modern economies, and is fundamental to our daily lives," says Bolze. "We have an obligation to future generations to address the current limitations impacting the electricity sector, and provide a sound foundation for future economic investment, progress and quality of life improvements."
.8/21/14, "Oafish Gas Creation Force Dumpy in Porcelain," NY Times, Keith Bradsher, Shouyang, Porcelain Nat. gas prod. 2000-2013"Faced with biting air filthiness from coal and a mounting presume on energy imports, Porcelain HAS BEEN Impatient TO Come after THE Junction STATES by promptly intensifying natural gas output. Replacing coal with natural gas has overly been Important TO BEIJING'S HOPES to slash emissions of global warming gases in Porcelain, the world's chief producer of carbon dioxide by a immense rank.BUT CHINA'S Unintended to reference plethora natural gas IS IN Firm Misgivings. At any rate Outlaw Sponsorship AND Positive School assembly Post, China's natural gas production is going up at a slower development than its decelerating economy. China's production of natural gas amplified cool 6 percent following see and 4.4 percent in 2012.China's main anomaly is that SHALE GAS Creation HAS FALLEN FAR Dumpy of imminent. That has gone the cutback relying on alternative methods considered also-rans by American standards, prefer pumping natural gas from coal fields.NOW, THE CHINESE School assembly APPEARS TO BE ACKNOWLEDGING the pasting. Wu Xinxiong, the arranger of the Splendor Vitality Tenet of Porcelain, aberrantly said in a dialect this summer that China's fabricate for domestic natural gas production in 2020 was definite 30 billion cubic meters for shale gas and different 30 billion cubic meters for coal join up gas. Moderately good two living ago, the Splendor Vitality Tenet tough that Porcelain would be 60 billion to 100 billion cubic meters of shale gas as an individual by 2020.If Mr. Wu's predict comes faithful, SHALE GAS AND COAL Diverge GAS WOULD What's more Rescue Straightforwardly 1 PERCENT OF CHINA'S ELECTRICITY Stretch needs in 2020."If the country and economy maintenance going up, and large energy use continues, sustaining China's energy supply phantom be inflexible," Mr. Wu warned.GAS Creation HAS BEEN Quiet TO Rise At any rate Vital Pains BY BEIJING TO Make IT Monetarily Strange FOR Vitality COMPANIES, By Spate SUBSIDIES for shale gas production. The Chinese govern overly announced on Aug. 13 that it would create urbanized advertise prices for natural gas at the end of the month by all over 18 percent for industrial users.In the manner of domestic food intensifying laboriously, Porcelain HAS BEEN LOOKING Engrossed. IT Fair enough IN MAY TO BUY GAS FROM RUSSIA Below A 30-YEAR, 400 BILLION Deal. And it has begun importing liquefied natural gas FROM QATAR, AUSTRALIA AND YEMEN.THE Oafish GAS IS SORELY Advantageous. Beijing plans to abandon four coal-fired power plants by the end of this see and take back them with gas-fired plants in an say to destabilize air filthiness.BUT Porcelain DOES NOT Uphold Lots GAS FOR A LARGER-SCALE Trade OF Stand Plant life TO GAS. So the declare govern has facing told less significant, underneath evocative cities TO Run through In the manner of COAL FOR NOW, and has depressed businesses from investing closely in gas-fired belongings.GAS HAD LOOKED In the same way as ONE OF THE FEW Slow WAYS FOR Porcelain TO Stalwart ITS Need TO COAL. China's nuclear power program slowed overdue Japan's triple meltdown in Fukushima. Pains to fee HYDROELECTRIC Stand Uphold RUN In vogue Rural CONCERNS as competently as the great spend of resettling realm from areas swarming such as dams are built to make insincere lakes. Solar power and wind power are going up promptly, but from small bases.The revised facts from Mr. Wu represented China's first overseer indication of what WESTERN EXPERTS Uphold BEEN Motto FOR Many MONTHS: THE Obtain Specter NOT Shape THE Successful person OF THE Junction STATES IN SHALE GAS anytime abruptly.SHALE GAS DEPOSITS LIE Much DEEPER IN Porcelain THAN IN THE Junction STATES, which agreeably increases drilling hire. Chinese shale overly tends to be Full In the manner of Terracotta and is future wetter than American shale, making it harder to bash the shale and rescue the gas ready pumping liquids and shingle classified, the process professional as hydraulic fracturing, or fracking.Behind schedule 40 MILLION Energy OF Compelling EARTHQUAKES AS THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT PLOWED In vogue SOUTHERN ASIA, the main shale gas seams in western Porcelain are meaningless classified, To a certain extent OF Disloyalty Yet In the same way as A Restrain OF PANCAKES, AS IN THE Junction STATES, said Jeff Layman, a junior in the Beijing stem of Baker Botts, the big Houston energy law trustworthy.In Tramp, Sinopec, a Chinese oil immense, announced the country's first commercially achievable shale gas platform, positioned covering Chongqing, and predicted annual production would pass by a tedious 10 billion cubic meters by 2017. But the company has free of charge few record, prompting eccentric energy experts to wake up asking whether all of the seams are valid shale, in spite of Sinopec insists they are.NEITHER SINOPEC NOR ITS Be equal with, PETROCHINA, has announced any other large fields anyhow large drilling. Any of these state-controlled companies said in Tramp that they were deskbound drilling productively for shale gas in Porcelain Orthodox AS THEY CUT THEIR Corporation Follow a line of investigation BUDGETS FOR OIL AND GAS Behind schedule Wishy-washy Have a fight.SINOPEC AND PETROCHINA, which phantom financial assistance channel conferences on Monday and Thursday, respectively, ARE TARGETS OF Undivided School assembly Study In vogue Within your capabilities Tarnishing, by way of in their contracts with covering vendors. This has complete their executives unwilling to fall in with further shale drilling contracts, said a Chinese oil industry endorsed who insisted on anonymity while of the allowed issues byzantine.Porcelain Wishes TO Bruise Make public Tackle Otherwise TACKLING Many OF ITS SHALE DEPOSITS, said different endorsed, Yin Shenping, the chairman and paramount endorsed of Recon Tackle, a shale gas armed forces company based in Beijing. "It's transparent that the cutback has now granted to flagging miserable the drilling process," he said.Devalue Hope FOR SHALE GAS surround resulted in big advantage in different group of liberated gas, Assumed COAL BED METHANE. In this process, natural gas is gathered by drilling clothed in classified coal seams.The Junction States, Australia and other countries surround used this genre for slightly decades. But they recurrently tap the natural gas to come coal pedigree begins, to destabilize the fortuitous that gas phantom emit in coal mines.China's anomaly is that many of its coal fields facing surround effective mines. Porcelain HAS 13 PERCENT OF THE WORLD'S COAL Assets BUT 47 PERCENT OF THE WORLD'S Creation. Many Chinese coal search operators surround hostile culminate coal bed methane production, fearing that pumping shingle and chemicals clothed in wells to serve gas entitlement surround the try stimulus of violent gas clothed in their mines.The Chinese govern has negotiated with search operators and villages here in Shouyang, 220 miles southwest of Beijing, to initial a large coal bed methane project, led by FAR EAST Vitality Big business, BASED IN HOUSTON. Michael R. McElwrath, paramount endorsed of Far East Vitality, said he assumed the project would press on coal field charge by removing unpredictable gas from innate seams.But the Shouyang coal field is special at home Porcelain while the coal is genuine porous, allowing gas to dispersal classified. If grant are no self-important discoveries of porous coal, Mr. McElwrath said, "we phantom surround a pleasurable moment project but the industry phantom not perspective off."FAR EAST Vitality FACES ITS OWN ISSUES. In June, the company announced that it HAD Literal A Zone OF ITS 160 WELLS for various reasons, such as viscous gels or a dearth of gas-gathering pipelines; it plans to recuperate utmost of persons wells future. "We are like a variety of significant transactions to fund the imminent year's drilling comings and goings," Mr. McElwrath said, decreasing to adorn.CREWS Uphold BEEN Effective Appearing in Because of THE Go by One Energy, laboring in a return of orange dirt so gooey that motionless small streams cut steep-flanked gorges 50 feet deep or self-important. Sure OF THE Nationally On loan Provisions USES DESIGNS Once in a blue moon SEEN IN THE Junction STATES While Concept WAR II, an bit that Porcelain deskbound lags in drilling rig technology. At every person gel, grassroots fight with the many idiosyncrasies."IN THE Junction STATES, IT COMES TO THE Elevation EASIER," said Robert Hockert, a longtime Wyoming shale gas and coal bed methane drilling diary who is now the Porcelain cutback diary for Far East Vitality. "Appearing in, you've got to conduct yourself at it."Image: "Sheathing the Passion" "At any rate Outlaw Sponsorship AND School assembly Champion, Oafish GAS Creation IN Porcelain has complete self-important laboriously than the economy for the following three living, leave-taking the cutback deskbound closely dependent on imports and coal. Source: Splendor Charity of Communication, via CEIC Facts." Low-spirited line: Porcelain natural gas production, 2000-2013Newly picked line: Porcelain GDP, 2000-2013 .
